Macro Dashboard
Economic indicators and market sentiment analysis
Fed Funds Rate
Higher rates typically bearish for stocks/crypto as borrowing costs increase. Lower rates are generally bullish.
M2 Money Supply
Expanding money supply is bullish for risk assets. Contracting supply is bearish as liquidity decreases.
VIX Index
Low VIX (<20) indicates complacency, high VIX (>30) indicates fear. Extreme readings often precede reversals.
Yield Curve
Inverted curve (negative spread) historically predicts recessions 12-18 months ahead. Steepening is bullish.
CPI Inflation
High inflation leads to tighter Fed policy. Declining inflation is bullish as it allows for easier monetary conditions.
Unemployment Rate
Low unemployment is bullish for consumer spending but may lead to inflation. Rising unemployment signals economic weakness.
GDP Growth
Strong GDP growth is bullish for equities. Negative growth for 2+ quarters indicates recession.
Dollar Index (DXY)
Weak dollar is bullish for commodities and international stocks. Strong dollar is bearish for these assets.